01 February 2016 - Iowa Caucus
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Trump or Cruz? Clinton or Sanders? Iowa Hears Last-Minute Pitches
They have munched on pork chops in the heat of summer and hunted game in the dead of winter. Spouses and children have been dispatched as surrogates across the plains. But with the caucuses on Monday hours away, the presidential candidates are leaving nothing to chance, furiously crisscrossing Iowa and making direct appeals to voters to stand for them in the election’s first nominating contest.
The campaigns are activating the final stage of their ground games, which they have spent months, in some cases years, building in the hope that a victory or a strong showing will give them momentum for the next round of contests. With a winter storm expected to bring snow to the state late Monday, operatives will be monitoring the forecast out of fear that bad weather could reduce turnout.
On Sunday, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas implored his supporters to caucus as he closed out his Iowa campaign with events in Iowa City, Davenport and Des Moines. He was accompanied for part of the day by the talk show host Glenn Beck and Phil Robertson of the television series “Duck Dynasty.” After a service at a nondenominational church in Council Bluffs, Donald J. Trump continued his courtship of evangelical Christian voters, urging them to have faith in his candidacy during two rallies with Jerry Falwell Jr., the president of Liberty University, who has endorsed him.
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"Iowa way" of campaigning
Chris Cillizza (The Washington Post, 31/01/2016)
Polls
Janie Velencia and Natalie Jackson (The Huffington Post, 01/02/2016)
The final Iowa pre-caucus poll from the highly regarded Bloomberg/Des Moines Register/Selzer poll finds businessman Donald Trump and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leading in their parties' contests. In the Republican caucus, Trump leads Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, 28 percent to 23 percent. In the Democratic caucus, Clinton leads Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), 45 percent to 42 percent.
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio is trailing in third place among Republicans with 15 percent support and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson has 10 percent. Other Republican candidates are in single digits.
Notably, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who at $15 million has spent more money on ads than any other candidate in Iowa, has dropped to just 2 percent. At 2012 caucus turnout levels, that works out to about $6,180 spent per supporter.
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No more conventional political wisdom
Gary Younge (The Guardian, 01/02/2016)
The rural, snow-frosted landscape of Iowa is so sparse, the horizon so broad and the sky so huge that weather can declare itself with great ceremony. Rain, sleet and snow don’t just happen to you here – when the clouds part, you can see them coming.
As Iowans gather at caucus sites on Monday night to be the first people in the United States to help pick the next president, a blizzard will barrel over the plains. By the next morning, it will have dumped several inches of snow on the state as it heads north-west, leaving a trail of chaos and disruption.
This remains about the only clear prediction that anyone can make about what Iowa will look and feel like come Tuesday. This American primary season has been too volatile, dissentious and just plain eccentric for any over-confident forecast prior to the event.
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01 February 2016 - Iowa Caucus, La Clé des Langues [en ligne], Lyon, ENS de LYON/DGESCO (ISSN 2107-7029), janvier 2016. Consulté le 26/12/2024. URL: https://cle.ens-lyon.fr/anglais/key-story/archives-revue-de-presse-2016/01-february-2016-iowa-caucus